The guarantor guarantees that the victory over terrorism in Syria, but not the end of the war

The early return Syria to its pre-war level has been hampered by several factors, one of which is a two-faced policy of Ankara in this process. On the eve of the turkish army is shelling the neighborhoods of the kurdish forces in aleppo, once again demonstrated their unwillingness to follow made in astana agreements. In addition to Turkey, considerable difficulties and bring other "Friends" of the syrians. We can say that the plan for the collapse of Syria failed and now the us, Israel and other "Partners" are not averse to consolation prize. For jerusalem this tidbit remains the golan heights, Washington – oil fields in the Eastern part of the country. Would like to profit from the "Good neighbor" and Ankara, which, in pursuit of ignoble goals, trying to save face a decent player.

Taking on the role of the parties to the conflict, designed to bring opposing sides to a speedy reconciliation, the turkish guarantor fulfills the peacekeeping mechanism of the brake. In the course held in astna may talks russia, Turkey and Iran, the turkish authorities had the opportunity to place in the province of idlib (one of the four areas de-escalate) a small group of troops to peacekeeping. In early october, Ankara has deployed at the syrian border the first observation point, and by mid-month in idlib included the first armored vehicles with the red crescent on board. For two weeks the guarantor so enthusiastic about the enter their "Peacekeepers," which, it seems, have stopped to notice, as the peacekeeping operation begins to resemble an act of aggression. This week, the syrian neighbor dispelled remaining doubts about him having made repeated artillery strikes on the positions of kurdish forces in the district of afrin and aleppo. During saturday's attack killed 3 civilians. Obviously, the actions of Turkey and, in particular, its current leader rajep Tayyip Erdogan now there is a "Conflict of interest".

Providing for war actively supporting the insurgents, and, in fact, being one of the main trading partners, Ankara is obliged to observe the inglorious end of the wards, and even to participate formally in the process. It is impossible to ignore the relationship of the president with the leaders of terrorist groups. As you know, with some of them he knows personally. Anyway, the main thing that pushes Ankara to continue to pull troops to Syria – is missing the chance to "Chop off" a piece of neighbouring land. Understanding this fact is pushing the turkish authorities to mobilize available resources to break the astana agreement, firing at the hated kurds, and even to go to the conflict with a military ally in the United States.

It is noteworthy, hoping to "Cash in" on the problems of the neighbor, Erdogan risks to create problems to itself, ruining relationships not only with states but also with Moscow and end up losing the Russian market. Still open is the question of the establishment of kurdish autonomy. In the meantime, in Kazakhstan begin regular talks on Syria, where the turkish side will surely declare the necessity of the speedy settlement of the conflict, continuing to prepare the base for a full-scale offensive on idlib. The only question is whether there is enough spirit to pull off this adventure under the noses of geopolitical heavyweights? with a strong desire of the turkish nose, and you can pinch.